tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2514352312859447561.post7730070077839957824..comments2024-01-30T03:30:45.740-05:00Comments on Bad Data, Bad!: Age Bias and Polling Methodsbs kinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02871717971078952304noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2514352312859447561.post-25099776481663580902012-04-14T15:30:04.020-04:002012-04-14T15:30:04.020-04:00But this population sample? Seriously? You have de...But this population sample? Seriously? You have decimal points in your Mean, and do a regression analysis, but don’t control for what friggin’ bar you went to?<br /><br />Ha! This reminds me of the part of "How to lie with statistics" where he talks about someone (Stalin maybe?) who gave some talk where the logic was "if we presume people work for 8 hours, then presume they work 300 days a year, etc etc we get each person providing 3.51 something something". Anyway, he probably spent a page afterwards railing about how the whole stat was based on presumptions and rounding, and then was somehow magically able to predict to two significant figures what was going on. <br /><br />As for the politics of drinking....I'm sad they didn't repeat the study on pot smokers. I'm pretty sure the results would have shown some impaired thinking favors liberals.bs kinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02871717971078952304noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2514352312859447561.post-43135005880355057932012-04-13T20:14:06.890-04:002012-04-13T20:14:06.890-04:00Bad sampling...
I actually think there might be s...Bad sampling...<br /><br />I actually think there might be something to the idea that conservatives score lower than liberals and moderates. Lord knows I’ve met my share of unthinking conservatives. I can at least follow a train of thought that says Conservatism can be defined as preference for the status quo, and that has fewer intellectual requirements. I don’t know what that means when liberalism is the status quo, or if there are limits to all of this. And “acceptance of hierarchy” seems odd. What’s that mean in their minds? But I don’t reject the idea out-of-hand.<br /><br /> But this population sample? Seriously? You have decimal points in your Mean, and do a regression analysis, but don’t control for what friggin’ bar you went to? Like, they must be all the same, right? (The study design and interpretation is bad enough, and I already have deep suspicion of all academic psychologists, but I’m not talking about those here.)<br /><br />85 New England Bar Patrons?<br />http://www.pagetwister.com/docs/Low-Effort%20Thought%20Promotes%20Politial%20Conservatism.pdfAssistant Village Idiothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01978011985085795099noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2514352312859447561.post-6638876259237785442012-04-13T05:35:19.358-04:002012-04-13T05:35:19.358-04:00The famous example of polling problems happened in...The famous example of polling problems happened in 1948 when all the polls said Dewey would be our next president. When Truman won, there was a lot of soul searching. They determined that more Republicans had telephones than Democrats so the sampling was biased. Back then, telephones were still somewhat of a luxury (phones had a lusury tax until the 70's) so it was far from a random sample.Michaelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05680174513083261237noreply@blogger.com